Results of LMN-Survation Poll of British Muslim Voters
The Labour Muslim Network has partnered with one of the UK's largest polling organisations - Survation - to do investigate the views and opinions of British Muslim voters in 2021. As one of the first every opinion polls conducted of British Muslims in the UK, the results provide valuable insight into the perspective of British Muslim voters all across the UK.
The poll was conducted by Survation via telephone interview. A combination of landline and mobile data were called. Field work was conducted between 20th May and 4th June 2021. The population samples were all British Muslims living in Great Britain over the age of 18. Sample size was 504. Data were weighted to the profile of all Muslim adults in Great Britain aged 18 or over. Data were weighted by age, sex, and region. Targets for the weighted data were derived from the office for national statistics.
Results:
Q1. Which, if any, of the following political parties do you most identify with?
Labour - 72% (-11)
Conservatives - 9% (+5)
SNP - 2% (NC)
Greens - 3% (+2%)
Liberal Democrats - 1% (NC)
None - 9% (+4)
Don’t Know - 2% (+1)
Prefer not to say - 1% (NC)
Other - 0% (NC)
*Changes shown in brackets are compared to ‘2019 General Election’ voters.
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Q2. At the start of May, there were elections across Britain. For which, if any, of the following political parties did you vote, or did you not vote?
Labour - 53% (-11)
Conservatives - 11% (+4)
SNP - 2% (NC)
Greens - 2% (NC)
Liberal Democrats - 1% (NC)
Other - 1% (NC)
Can’t Remember - 1% (NC)
Did not vote - 34% (+7)
Prefer not to say - 1% (+1)
*Changes shown in brackets are compared to how respondents voted in 2019 General Election. It also needs to be noted, differential turnout in these elections can have have an impact.
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Q3. Which of the following best describes why you did not vote?
Busy* - 22%
Health Issues / concerns* - 15%
Voting doesn’t make any difference to my life - 14%
I didn’t like the candidate(s) of the party that I would normally vote for - 12%
I would normally vote Labour, but I no longer feel they represent me - 12%
Apathy* - 7%
Fasting* - 6%
Antipathy about politics* - 4%
Voting issues* - 2% (+1)
Other reason - 3%
Don’t know - 3%
I would normally vote Conservative, but I no longer feel they represent me - 0%
Prefer not to say - 0%
*Option unprompted; coded from ‘Other reason’ Base: Respondents who said they did not vote in the May 2021 elections
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Q4. In the past 12 months, has your view of the following political parties become more favourable or more unfavourable?
Labour - net favourability over past 12 months: -12%
Conservative - net favourability over past 12 months: -28%
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Q5(a). To what extent do you think favourably or unfavourably towards the following political figures - Sir KEIR STARMER.
Strongly Favourably - 4%
Somewhat Favourably - 18%
Neither Favourably nor Unfavourably- 24%
Somewhat Unfavourably - 16%
Strongly Unfavourably - 13%
Don’t know - 18%
Have not heard of - 7%
Net Favourable - 22%
Net Unfavourable - 29%
Net Favourability: -7%
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Q5(b). To what extent do you think favourably or unfavourably towards the following political figures - BORIS JOHNSON.
Strongly Favourably - 5%
Somewhat Favourably - 15%
Neither Favourably nor Unfavourably- 25%
Somewhat Unfavourably - 19%
Strongly Unfavourably - 33%
Don’t know - 2%
Have not heard of - 0%
Net Favourable - 20%
Net Unfavourable - 53%
Net Favourability: -32%
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Q5(c). To what extent do you think favourably or unfavourably towards the following political figures - SUMMARY
Boris Johnson - net favourability -33%
Sir Keir Starmer - net favourability -7%
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Q5(d). Sir Keir Starmer favourability ratings amongst 2019 Labour Voters only - Comparison Muslim vs General Population.
2019 Labour Voters (General Population)*
Strongly Favourable - 20%
Somewhat Favourable - 31%
Neither Favourably nor Unfavourably- 25%
Somewhat Unfavourably - 11%
Strongly Unfavourably - 8%
Don’t know - 4%
Have not heard of - 1%
Net Favourable - 51%
Net Unfavourable - 19%
Net Favourability: +32%
2019 Labour Voters (Muslim)
Strongly Favourably - 5%
Somewhat Favourably - 19%
Neither Favourably nor Unfavourably- 25%
Somewhat Unfavourably - 15%
Strongly Unfavourably - 13%
Don’t know - 15%
Have not heard of - 9%
Net Favourable - 24%
Net Unfavourable - 28%
Net Favourability: -4%
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Q6(a). To what extent do you think favourably or unfavourably towards the following political parties - LABOUR.
Strongly Favourably - 28%
Somewhat Favourably* - 34%
Neither Favourably nor Unfavourably- 17%
Somewhat Unfavourably - 11%
Strongly Unfavourably - 8%
Don’t know - 1%
Prefer not to say - 1%
Net Favourable - 61%
Net Unfavourable - 19%
Net Favourability: +42%
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Q6(b). To what extent do you think favourably or unfavourably towards the following political parties - CONSERVATIVE.
Strongly Favourably - 4%
Somewhat Favourably - 15%
Neither Favourably nor Unfavourably - 20%
Somewhat Unfavourably - 21%
Strongly Unfavourably - 36%
Don’t know - 3%
Prefer not to say - 2%
Net Favourable - 18%
Net Unfavourable - 57%
Net Favourability: -39%
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Q6(c). To what extent do you think favourably or unfavourably towards the following political parties - SUMMARY.
Labour - net favourability +42%
Conservative - net favourability -39%
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STATEMENT FROM LMN:
“For decades the Muslim community have been amongst the most loyal Labour supporters seen anywhere in the United Kingdom. The findings of this opinion poll show the beginning of a fracturing of this relationship. This should be of deep concern for us all in the Labour Party. Muslim voters are sending us a clear message - our votes and support should not be taken for granted and must be earned.
Winning back the trust of those whom we have lost and strengthening our bond with our existing supporters must begin urgently. This can only be done through a serious commitment by the leaders throughout our party and movement.
Everyone at the Labour Muslim Network is desperate to see Labour win again - but to do so we must understand the serious concerns amongst some of our most loyal voters.”